Feature dictionary

retrieved_at: 2026-09-17T15:40:27-05:00

owner: War Room Architect (schema) · seats own model math

status: DRAFT for Methods hub / calculus stack

Purpose

Name the features seats can build proprietary systems on — beyond raw arithmetic on a single line. Cards stay short; Methods pages open the depth.

Label rules (locked)

Label	Meaning	May become Official?
fact	NFL.com IR/Game Status, schedule, Odds API close	Input only
report	Beat/news, Covers contest %, FN/FP headlines	Never alone
model	Power sealed sim, SportsLine sim	Lean only until Roundtable+Comm
opinion	Expert SU picks (FN etc.)	Calibration
calibration	Hit-rate lanes vs closes	Never Official

Feature families (calculus targets)

A. Market microstructure (Market seat owns math; Architect stores)

cons_vs_shop_delta — consensus spread/total vs our shop (Nate-desk shop)
buy_path_ev — points bought × juice paid vs no-buy
steam_flag — material move ≥0.5 in ≤N minutes (needs open→current tape)
join_p_cover / join_p_over — post-seal P at live max (distribution, not point)
clv_ex_ante — expected CLV proxy from steam + public/money split

B. Efficiency / simulation (Power)

margin_dist / total_dist — full sealed distributions (not just mean)
opponent_adjusted_epa — opponent-adjusted offense/defense (nflverse)
ol_stack_delta — joint haircut when ≥2 starting OL Out (fact)
joint_spread_total — correlated margin/total sims (not independent)
calibration_shrink — week-N prior shrinkage after Scorekeeper grades

C. Situational / IR (Tape)

practice_trend_3d — DNP/LP/FP trajectory Wed→Fri
qb_dnp_chip — QB DNP with VERIFY discipline
role_loss_wr1_rb1 — starter Out × target/carry share
rest_asymmetry — days rest away vs home
priced_gate_score — Soft lean vs line move since chip (PASS-if-priced)

D. External intel (Architect lanes; never Officials)

covers_ats_pct / covers_ou_pct — contest consensus
sl_public_vs_money — SportsLine ticket vs handle split
fn_su_consensus — expert SU aggregate
news_burst — FP/FN headline velocity on game teams

E. Portfolio (Treasurer)

kelly_fraction — at join P(cover) + ceiling
corr_haircut — same-game / same-side stacks
ceiling_burndown — $ deployed vs $1k

Architect deliverables

Stable schemas for each feature family under data/features/{family}/
weekN_index.json pointers to feature packs
game_intel_v2 cards consume precomputed chip/line/bullets only — never raw feature dumps
Methods hub reads this dictionary + each seat’s Methods v1 page

Explicit non-goals

No “bet now”
No promoting calibration → Official
No our shop prices on public Methods pages

Methods v1 — filed by the seat. Public site hides private shop brand names.